Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 14.710981 16.493367 18.426060 20.680564 23.242214 26.066886 29.423747
2025-05-25 11.953760 14.387164 17.238307 20.839155 25.284728 30.617862 37.537077
2025-06-01 10.026262 12.786565 16.233265 20.884118 27.042902 34.984008 46.103562
2025-06-08 8.639085 11.565005 15.419738 20.923012 28.664427 39.294357 55.217484
2025-06-15 7.817299 10.920237 15.206255 21.640845 31.198295 45.094948 67.245484
2025-06-22 6.917992 10.020917 14.483934 21.481422 32.378909 49.041224 77.106813
2025-06-29 6.104533 9.127334 13.632222 20.971573 32.893830 51.965246 85.737359
2025-07-06 5.486075 8.442635 12.993973 20.675216 33.649753 55.297615 95.481582
2025-07-13 5.172612 8.188183 12.980553 21.355642 36.062860 61.660485 111.495554
2025-07-20 4.898909 7.961627 12.975981 22.031300 38.529197 68.423750 129.354534
2025-07-27 4.592817 7.645244 12.780565 22.338335 40.354598 74.248117 146.367499
2025-08-03 4.235144 7.202748 12.318775 22.103393 41.125861 78.158990 160.141597
2025-08-10 3.894622 6.766644 11.840083 21.811955 41.812078 82.125273 175.055730
2025-08-17 3.588431 6.363576 11.382035 21.509419 42.445045 86.099775 190.819804
2025-08-24 3.333652 6.030094 11.018351 21.347106 43.341572 90.764190 209.111229
2025-08-31 3.118739 5.750396 10.727185 21.293410 44.455510 96.065849 230.009166
2025-09-07 3.008841 5.660499 10.792776 21.981685 47.277137 105.660408 263.717276
2025-09-14 2.815330 5.388417 10.468700 21.800064 48.111131 110.728909 286.647454
2025-09-21 2.605999 5.066007 10.011385 21.273381 48.069520 113.662419 304.358665
2025-09-28 2.437722 4.812249 9.671672 20.968557 48.509893 117.855296 326.542576
2025-10-05 2.372049 4.765027 9.762625 21.657864 51.479587 129.050394 372.044257
2025-10-12 2.309136 4.717729 9.848063 22.343243 54.538426 141.011506 422.892269
2025-10-19 2.220087 4.606308 9.781447 22.654690 56.672233 150.797182 469.240731